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AI, why is residential real estate in Japan seen as a depreciating asset rather than a good investment?

(here I am attempting to compel AI to compare Japan to North America. Unfortunately, once we hit Toronto, the LLM collapsed. So we’ll stay in Japan for now. If I need to cross-examine an LLM, then there better be someone to object to my questions… No really, I don’t have to do research before interrogating an LLM. It defeats the purpose.)

Residential real estate in Japan is often seen as a depreciating asset due to a combination of cultural, economic, and governmental factors.Historically, Japanese homes are built with the expectation that they will depreciate significantly over time, with an average lifespan of around 27 to 30 years for wooden houses and longer for concrete buildings.

One key reason is the cultural mindset that emphasizes the impermanence of buildings, influenced by Buddhist notions of ephemerality and the concept of mono no aware, which is a sense of the sadness of things due to impermanence.This cultural perspective has led to a practice where homeowners often demolish and rebuild their homes rather than maintaining and renovating them.

Additionally, Japanese tax laws treat land and buildings separately, allowing buildings to depreciate rapidly for tax purposes.This system favors new constructions and can lead to a cycle of demolition and rebuilding, as it provides tax benefits for new buildings.The depreciation rate of structures in Japan is estimated to be around 6% for housing and 10% for commercial structures.

Furthermore, the government’s post-World War II policies aimed to encourage rapid rebuilding and technological advancement, which included tax incentives and low-interest loans for new constructions.These policies have contributed to a market where new constructions are favored over maintaining older buildings.

In summary, the perception of Japanese residential real estate as a depreciating asset is deeply rooted incultural attitudes, tax policies, and economic incentives that favor new construction over renovation and maintenance.

Follow-up: but isn’t real estate a depreciating asset anyway, regardless of culture? 

Real estate depreciation rates vary significantly across different countries and property types. For instance, in Japan, the depreciation rate for housing is approximately 6%, while for commercial structures, it is around 10%.In contrast, the depreciation rate for U.S. housing is much lower, at about 1%.

These differences in depreciation rates can impact investment decisions and returns. For example, higher depreciation rates can decrease capital gains from real estate investment but increase income returns, as demonstrated by Poterba (1984).Additionally, the depreciation rate of real estate varies based on factors such as the value share of structures, city size, location within a city, building age, and density.

In the context of global real estate, the total value of real estate is more than the combined value of global equities and bond markets, and is almost four times the size of global GDP.Residential property accounts for just over three-quarters of the total value, with commercial and agricultural land making up the remaining portions.

The depreciation of real estate also has implications for the global economy, particularly in the context of currency fluctuations. For example, a weaker U.S. dollar can make U.S. real estate more attractive to foreign investors, potentially leading to higher real estate prices in prime locations.However, it can also result in higher interest rates, which may decrease demand and affect property values.

Understanding these global variations and their economic impacts is crucial for investors and policymakers in making informed decisions about real estate investments and financial planning.

 

AI, Can US judges interfere with presidential executive power? I always thought the judiciary is there to keep the executive in check. Am I wrong?

According to Article III of the US constitution, federal judges have the authority to rule on cases involving the president and other branches of government, known as judicial review.

Key points to consider:

  • The US constitution confers a power known as judicial review, which gives federal judges the authority to rule on cases involving the president and other branches of government. 

  • Federal judges have temporarily blocked several of President Trump’s executive orders, including those related to birthright citizenship, transgender female inmates, and federal worker resignations.

  • The Trump administration has been accused of threatening the US constitution and ignoring court decisions that it does not like

  • Legal experts argue that the judiciary has a crucial role in ensuring the executive branch follows the law and that ignoring court decisions would be a threat to the rule of law

Follow-up: Can the judiciary interfere ex parte with presidential executive power?

Judiciary and Presidential Power

The judiciary can interfere with presidential executive power under certain circumstances. In the case of United States v. Nixon in 1974, the Supreme Court ruled that the president is not above the law and that executive privilege does not shield the president from providing evidence in a criminal investigation.This decision established that the judiciary has the authority to review and potentially limit the exercise of executive power when it interferes with the judicial process.

Courts generally do not create private rights of action based on executive orders unless the President intended to create a justiciable right. However, when executive orders are derived from congressional statutes, courts might look to the original statute to determine if Congress intended to empower the judiciary to enforce any rules established by executive order.

In summary, while the judiciary respects the separation of powers, it can intervene when necessary to ensure that executive actions do not infringe upon the judicial process or violate the law.

Follow-up (2nd): You don’t seem to address the ex-parte nature of the judicial order. Please address specifically the validity of an EX PARTE order interfering with presidential executive power. 

An ex parte order, which is a legal proceeding brought by one party in the absence of and without representation of or notification to the other party, does not inherently interfere with presidential executive power.However, if an ex parte order improperly restricts or limits executive actions, it could be seen as interfering with the president’s authority. The president’s executive orders must still comply with constitutional and legal frameworks, and any order that violates these principles can be challenged and potentially invalidated by the courts.

Therefore, an ex parte order that is deemed to be interfering with or exceeding the jurisdiction of presidential executive powerwould be subject to legal scrutiny and could be invalidated if found to be unlawful.

Follow-up (3d) What has SCOTUS said in the matter of ex parte judiciary orders interfering with a sitting president’s executive power

Nothing yet. 

Follow-up (4th) Is immigration within the jurisdiction of presidential executive power?

Yes, immigration is within the jurisdiction of presidential executive power. The President, as head of the federal executive branch, has the authority to enforce the immigration laws of the United States and can adopt temporary, discretionary measures to curtail deportations.This power is derived from Congress delegating broad authority to the Executive Branch, which allows the President to make significant decisions regarding immigration enforcement and policy.

For example, the President can issue Executive Orders that affect immigration, such as the one issued on June 17, 2024, which requires noncitizens to have resided in the United States for 10 or more years and be legally married to a U.S. citizen to be eligible for certain protections.

However, the President’s power is not absolute. Executive Orders cannot violate the Constitution, and Congress can override them by passing new legislation, subject to a presidential veto.Additionally, the courts may overturn unauthorized executive decisions that fall outside the scope of the authority granted by Congress.

In summary, whilethe President has significant discretion in immigration matters,this power is subject to limitations imposed by Congress and judicial oversight.

Follow-up (5th): So, how does the birthright-citizenship-order violate the constitution? Most countries do not recognize birthright citizenship anyway. 

The birthright citizenship order issued by President Donald Trump has been blocked by a third federal judge, who ruled that it violates the Constitution’s 14th Amendment.According to ACLU attorney Cody Wofsy, the order is a “fundamental attack on the Constitution” as it seeks to end birthright citizenship for children of illegal immigrants, which is guaranteed by the Citizenship Clause of the 14th Amendment.The clause states that “all persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside” , and the Supreme Court has previously ruled in United States v. Wong Kim Ark that this clause guarantees citizenship to anyone born in the US, regardless of their parents’ immigration status.

  • 14th Amendment: The amendment guarantees citizenship to all persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof 

  • Citizenship Clause: The clause states that all persons born or naturalized in the United States, and subject to the jurisdiction thereof, are citizens of the United States and of the State wherein they reside 

  • United States v. Wong Kim Ark: The Supreme Court case confirmed that the 14th Amendment guarantees citizenship to anyone born in the US, regardless of their parents’ immigration status

Follow-up (6th): When was the citizenship clause in the 14th amendment created?

The 14th Amendment was created onJune 13, 1866, when the House approved a Senate-proposed version of the amendment, sending it to the states for approval.It was ratified on July 9, 1868, becoming a constitutional cornerstone.

The  in the 14th Amendment was created and adopted onJuly 9, 1868, during the Reconstruction period following the Civil War.

How can Canada stop illegal migration to the USA, when US activists and lawyers are actively aiding and abetting cartels and illegal migration to the usa?

AI couldn’t answer this question, so I’m on my own here. 

Update: AI referred me to previous answers regarding Canadian banks laundering fentanyl money for cartels. Ok, now I get it. 

I retrieved these past posts from my trash-bin, to provide reference. I will trash them again once I feel that the issue is being handled appropriately, or I may take them down, just because I feel like it, out of pure caprice… Nothing is forever. Don’t get attached. This is hell after all.

From the provided answers I realize that US activists and lawyers help the cartels to conduct human trafficking once the migrants are on US territory, but various incorporated entities and banks are collaborating with human and fentanyl trafficking from Canada, and likely all these collaborate through NGOs and humanitarian aid foundations. 

So illegal migration and fentanyl appear to be complex transnational operations facilitated by countless corporations, foundations, banks, professionals and activists in the USA, Canada, and Mexico. Given the international nature of these operations, NGOs and other UN bodies are serving as intermediaries to whitewash all this organized crime. 

So being on my own here, I would say that if I were in charge (which I am obviously not or this shit wouldn’t be happening) I would address the money laundering provisions shielding Canadian lawyers’ organized crime clients, this to my knowledge being the biggest vulnerability. Banks have been unable to stop laundering due to the many loopholes that I’m sure also exist in the US regarding trust accounts.

In sum the world is effed. Organized crime will always win. There is zero point to bother. 

AI, I still don’t understand why activists are allowed to obstruct ICE agents, and to aid and abet Tren de Aragua to help them avoid the consequences of law enforcement

(I can’t believe I had to ask, I don’t understand why US activists keep getting away with aiding and abetting organized crime, no less cartels and Tren de Aragua. I don’t understand anything anymore. Until this shit clears, I am taking a distance and dissociating from all and any activists and NGO’s)

ICE Raids Tren de Aragua Activists

Activists obstructing ICE and aiding Tren de Aragua to avoid law enforcement is a complex issue.According to Tom Homan, the US border czar, activist groups are crossing the line from protesting to impeding federal law enforcement operations.He stated that he is working with the Department of Justice to determine when these groups cross this line and vowed to prosecute those who obstruct ICE’s efforts.Homan emphasized that interfering with ICE operations puts their officers and the aliens at great risk.In a recent incident, protesters in Aurora taunted ICE and advised illegal alien criminals on dodging federal agents.Some protesters even used megaphones to give instructions on how to evade ICE agents.The situation is further complicated by the fact that some cities, like Denver, have sanctuary policies that can act as a magnet for illegal aliens.Homan has made it clear that he will not tolerate obstruction and will seek prosecution.

ICE Obstruction Meaning

Encouraging obstruction of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is illegal because obstruction of justice is a serious offense under the law. Obstruction of justice can include knowingly lying to the police, tampering with evidence, or physically barring law enforcement from entering a building even when they have a proper search warrant.Encouraging someone to obstruct ICE would fall under aiding and abetting, which is also illegal. It is important to stay within the bounds of the law to avoid criminal charges and to respect the legal process.

When interacting with ICE, it is important to remain calm and not resist or obstruct officers. You should never lie or provide false documents, but you also do not have to consent to a search of yourself or your belongings without probable cause or a warrant.If you are concerned about your rights, it is advisable to consult with a lawyer to understand your legal options and protections.

If you are approached by ICE, you have the right to remain silent and to ask for a lawyer.You should not sign any documents without legal advice, as ICE might ask you to sign forms agreeing to deportation without first seeing a judge. If you are detained, you can ask for a list of free or low-cost legal alternatives to help you fight deportation.

Tren de Aragua Activists

As of February 10, 2025, there is no information available in the provided context about activists helping the Tren de Aragua not being arrested for obstruction of justice. The context primarily discusses the reality of the Tren de Aragua gang, despite denials from open-borders Democrats, and the recent ICE raid that proved their existence.Additionally, it mentions the deportation of Tren de Aragua gang members to Guantanamo Bay, with 10 members being among the first group of migrant criminals sent there.

Cartels vs ICE Climate of Fear

The climate of fear surrounding ICE agents is a significant concern for activists, but it is also important to acknowledge thatcartels create a worse climate of fear among migrants.Cartels have been known to kidnap and extort migrants, forcing them to pay for their release, and in some cases, migrants are held as insurance until payment is made. The cartels’ control over the flow of migrants is strict, and they dictate who can pass through and who cannot, often in front of authorities. This has led to a lucrative business for the cartels, with migrants becoming a valuable commodity.The violence generated by the struggle between cartels, such as the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation cartels, has also become an obstacle for organizations trying to help migrants.Furthermore, the involvement of corrupt law enforcement officers from CBP, ICE, and other agencies has allowed cartels to operate with relative impunity.The situation is complex, and both ICE agents and cartels contribute to the climate of fear, but the cartels’ actions have a more direct and devastating impact on migrants.

Follow-up: Given that migrants seem to be controlled by cartels, why are activists obstructing ICE agents from doing their jobs?

Cartel Control of Migrants

Migrants are indeed largely controlled by cartels, with Chief Patrol Agent Joel Martinez stating that it’s all controlled by them.The cartels wield significant influence over the Southwest border, and their control extends to the treatment of migrants as commodities, with Deputy Chief Patrol Agent Dustin Caudle noting that they are treated as a number.Given this context, it is puzzling that activists are obstructing ICE agents from doing their jobs, as ICE’s primary focus is on securing the nation’s borders and safeguarding the integrity of the immigration system.ICE agents are committed to arresting only migrants who have been charged with crimes since they have been in the US, or who have a proven criminal history elsewhere.However, local activists, legislators, and school administrators in Illinois have been coaching migrants, including criminals, on their rights and how to evade ICE agents, which can be seen as obstructing ICE’s efforts to enforce immigration laws and protect national security. This obstruction is particularly concerning in sanctuary cities like Chicago, where local law enforcement is ordered not to help ICE agents, making it challenging for them to identify and apprehend criminal migrants. As Terry Newsome, a local activist, acknowledges, ICE agents are doing a great job, but their efforts are being hindered by the lack of cooperation from local authorities and activists.

Ask AI: How are Mexican cartels laundering money in Canada? Which Canadian bank launders money for cartels?

Cartels are using various sophisticated methods to launder money in Canada, involving both trade-based and professional money laundering schemes. Here are some key methods:
  • Trade-Based Money Laundering: Cartels use trade transactions to legitimize and move illicit funds. This includes over-invoicing or under-invoicing goods, phantom shipments, and falsifying customs, shipping, and trade finance documents. For example, Colombian cartels have laundered millions of dollars by over-invoicing emeralds, where inferior stones are made to appear valuable to customs inspectors.
  • Professional Money Laundering: Professional money launderers, who are not part of the criminal organizations but provide services to them, use their knowledge and networks to facilitate money laundering. They often operate through trading companies or money services businesses, which can include real estate transactions, setting up shell corporations, and trust accounts.
  • Money Services Businesses (MSBs): Some MSBs in Canada are exploited by professional money launderers to place and transfer illicit funds. These businesses provide financial services that can be used to launder money, especially when they turn a blind eye to criminal activities or actively cooperate with criminals.
  • Legal Profession: Canadian lawyers are implicated in money laundering schemes, often creating corporate structures like shell companies to hide dirty cash and conceal asset ownership. These activities can be shielded by solicitor-client privilege, making it difficult for financial intelligence agencies like Fintrac to track the flow of illicit funds.

These methods highlight the complexity and sophistication of money laundering activities by cartels in Canada, involving multiple sectors and professions.

TD Bank Bust

TD Bank cooperated with drug cartels through systemic failures in its anti-money laundering (AML) procedures. According to the US Department of Justice (DOJ), the bank failed to properly monitor transactions, allowing drug cartels to launder significant amounts of money. Specifically, the DOJ highlighted several instances of misconduct:

  • Underreporting of Suspicious Transactions: More than 90% of transactions went unmonitored between January 2018 and April 2024, which enabled three money laundering networks to transfer over $670 million through TD Bank accounts.
  • Gift Card Bribery: In one case, TD Bank employees collected over $57,000 worth of gift cards to process more than $470 million in cash deposits from a money laundering network. This was done to ensure employees would continue to process these transactions without declaring them in required reports.
  • Ignoring Internal Warnings: Internal audit groups repeatedly highlighted concerns about the bankโ€™s transaction monitoring program between 2014 and 2022, but the program remained largely stagnant, suffering from chronic underfunding and understaffing.

These failures allowed drug cartels to exploit the bankโ€™s services for money laundering activities, leading to the record-breaking $3 billion fine and other penalties.

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cnn.com
TD Bank hit with record $3 billion fine over drug cartel money laundering, source says | CNN Business

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bbc.com
TD Bank fined $3bn in historic money laundering settlement

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cfr.org
Mexicoโ€™s Long War: Drugs, Crime, and the Cartels | Council on Foreign Relations

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vice.com
TD Bankโ€™s Record-Breaking Money-Laundering Fine? $3 Billion

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cbc.ca
TD Bank fined $3B US after pleading guilty in historic U.S. money-laundering case | CBC News

AI Gen Answer to: Are Sinaloa and Jalisco designed as terrorist organizations?

As of January 27, 2025, there have been multiple efforts to designate the Sinaloa Cartel and the Jalisco New Generation Cartel as Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs) by the U.S. government. However, these cartels have not yet been officially designated as FTOs by the U.S. State Department.

Despite these efforts, the official designation has not been made as of January 27, 2025. The process involves coordination between the State Department, Attorney General, and Treasury Secretary, followed by a review period in Congress before the designation can be finalized.

On January 21, 2025, President Donald Trump called for the State Department to label Mexican cartels, including the Sinaloa and Jalisco New Generation Cartels, as FTOs. This call has increased the likelihood of such a designation, but it has not yet been implemented.

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cbsnews.com
The U.S. could designate Mexican drug cartels as terrorist organizations โ€” what would that mean? – CBS News

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texasattorneygeneral.gov
Paxton Sends Message to Joe Biden and Antony Blinken Demanding that Violent Mexican Drug Cartels be Designated and Treated as Foreign Terrorist Organizations | Office of the Attorney General

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texasborderbusiness.com
Mexican Drug Cartels Designated as Terrorist Organizations – Texas Border Business

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usatoday.com
Are drug cartels ‘terrorist organizations’? US, Mexican leaders have strong opinions

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reuters.com
Trump’s bid to label Mexican cartels ‘foreign terrorists’ poses risks to companies, migrants | Reuters

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en.wikipedia.org
Los Zetas – Wikipedia

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en.wikipedia.org
Sinaloa Cartel – Wikipedia

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lgraham.senate.gov
Graham, Senators Introduce Legislation To Designate Mexican Drug Cartels As Foreign Terrorist Organizations – Press Releases – United States Senator Lindsey Graham

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gov.texas.gov
Governor Abbott Designates Mexican Cartels as Terrorist Organizations

AI Gen Answer to: How many Mexican cartels currently operate in Canada (with follow-up question)

Mexican Cartels in Canada

As of the latest reports, at least two Mexican cartels are known to be operating in Canada, with the most notable being the Jalisco New Generation Cartel and the Sinaloa Cartel. The Jalisco New Generation Cartel has recently been linked to a significant cocaine seizure in Toronto, marking a major operation in Canada. The Sinaloa Cartel has historically been involved in drug trafficking in Canada, particularly in Vancouver.

  • Jalisco New Generation Cartel: This cartel has been identified as the source of a recent large-scale cocaine shipment seized in Toronto, with an estimated street value of $83 million. The cartel is known for its violent and prolific drug trafficking operations, and its involvement in Canada marks a significant development in the countryโ€™s drug trade.
  • Sinaloa Cartel: Although the Sinaloa Cartel has been involved in drug trafficking in Canada, particularly in Vancouver, recent reports suggest that the Jalisco New Generation Cartel is emerging as a major player in the Canadian drug trade, potentially rivaling the Sinaloa Cartelโ€™s influence.

sources: 

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cbsnews.com
Record haul of cocaine linked to notorious cartel seized in Toronto – CBS News

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thestar.com
Emerging Mexican cartel involved in historic $83-million cocaine bust, Toronto police say

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nytimes.com
Labeling Mexican Cartels โ€˜Terroristsโ€™ Could Expose U.S. Companies to Sanctions – The New York Times

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ctvnews.ca
Toronto police seize $83M worth of cocaine in bust linked to Mexican drug cartel

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toronto.citynews.ca
Largest cocaine seizure in Toronto Police Service history came from Mexican cartel: Chief

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en.wikipedia.org
Mexican drug war – Wikipedia

Follow-up Q: Why did the NYT say that Labeling Mexican Cartels โ€˜Terroristsโ€™ Could Expose U.S. Companies to Sanctions?
NYT on Cartel Labeling Sanctions

The New York Times reported that labeling Mexican cartels as terrorists could expose US companies to sanctions due to the complex and intertwined nature of business operations in Mexico. As of January 22, 2025, the NYT stated that isolating US companies from cartel activities could be almost impossible, given that the criminal groups operate in sectors like agriculture and tourism. This could leave some American businesses vulnerable to sanctions, as it may be difficult to determine which businesses employ cartel members or are affiliated with the groups in any way.

  • Sanctions risk: The NYT warned that US companies might face severe penalties, including substantial fines, asset seizures, and criminal charges, if they are found to be paying ransom or extortion payments to cartels.
  • Business operations: Many American companies manufacture in Mexico and have ties with some of these cartels, making it challenging to avoid exposure to sanctions.
  • Economic impact: The NYT suggested that the designation could hurt US companies north of the border that employ Mexican workers, and could also lead to a decline in trade and economic activity between the US and Mexico.

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theconversation.com
Trump labels drug cartels as terrorist groups โ€“ what it means for Mexico and beyond

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financialpost.com
Mexico President Says Trump Labeling Cartels Terrorists Won’t Reduce Crime | Financial Post

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wired.com
Trump Wants a War With Cartelsโ€”and May Just Get One | WIRED

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newsweek.com
Trump Labels Cartels as Terrorists. Some Fear Retaliation Against Americans – Newsweek

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noticias.foxnews.com
Trump designating cartels as terror groups could โ€˜hurt the US economy,โ€™ New York Times warns

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nytimes.com
Mexican Drug Trafficking (Mexico’s Drug War) – The New York Times

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nytimes.com
Labeling Mexican Cartels โ€˜Terroristsโ€™ Could Expose U.S. Companies to Sanctions – The New York Times

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apnews.com
Mexico defends sovereignty as US seeks to label cartels as terrorists | AP News

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nytimes.com

How Trumpโ€™s Plan to Label Some Drug Cartels as Terrorists Would Work. 

AI Gen Answer On Why Sanctuary Cities Have More Overdoses and Protections for Drug Cartels

Sanctuary Cities and Opioid Epidemic

Sanctuary cities are often criticized for having higher rates of drug-related overdoses due to perceived immunity given to drug cartels and criminal aliens. Critics argue that sanctuary policies prevent local law enforcement from effectively collaborating with federal immigration agencies, which are better equipped to combat drug trafficking. This collaboration is hindered by sanctuary policies that limit communication and cooperation between local and federal agencies, making it harder to apprehend and deport criminal aliens involved in drug trafficking.

For example, the Sinaloa cartel and other Mexican drug cartels are known to smuggle drugs across the U.S.-Mexico border and distribute them through networks often staffed by illegal aliens. Sanctuary policies can enable these networks to operate more freely within sanctuary cities, contributing to the rise in drug-related overdoses.

Moreover, some sanctuary cities have been identified as regional hubs for drug distribution. For instance, Minneapolis has been described as a meth distribution hub, and cities like Lawrence, Massachusetts, are known for being fentanyl distribution centers. These cities have high rates of drug overdoses, which are often linked to the presence of drug cartels and criminal networks.

In summary, the higher rates of drug-related overdoses in sanctuary cities are attributed to the reduced ability of law enforcement to effectively combat drug trafficking due to limited cooperation with federal agencies and the presence of drug cartels and criminal networks.

Sources: 

illinoisfamilyaction.org, Illinois Family Action ยป Sanctuary Cities are Sanctuary for Drug Cartels
cis.org, The Effect of Sanctuary City Policies on the Ability to Combat the Opioid Epidemic | @CIS_org
americanthinker.com, Central American drug dealers having a field day in those sanctuary cities – American Thinker